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Monday, October 15, 2018

Credit Risk Management Analysis of Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC)


I. Executive Summary
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) is one of the leading North American financial institutions. It has over 140 years of serving clients in Canada and around the world. Through its two distinct business lines, the CIBC Retail Markets and the CIBC World Markets, CIBC provides a full range of products and services to almost 11 million individual and small business clients and meets the financial needs of corporate and institutional clients. In 2007, revenue was $12.1 billion and net income was $3.3 billion. At year-end, market capitalization was $34.2 billion and its Tier 1 capital ratio was 9.7%” (CICB Annual Accountability Report, 2007).
However, as of January of 2008 several investors of CICB are bailing out $2.75 billion cash injections to infuse the bank with the necessary capital to survive the global credit crunch. It has also caused significant drop in the bank’s stock price. According to the bond rating service, CIBC’s rating is under review with negative implications because of its risk management processes. On the other hand, there are also major criticisms on the management of CICB by its chief executive Gerry McCaughey (Silcoff, 2008) and other top management officers who should not be in the risk committee.
Upon review of the risk management of CICB, particularly the new Base II, it is more likely that the present problem of the CICB due to subprime loan is not caused by the mere policies and procedures of CICB risk management but by the few individuals who should not be part of the risk committee.
II. Introduction
CIBC announced a US$2 billion writedown due to the subprime losses (Corporate News, 2007). CIBC suffered in the same way as the banks in the US. Several top executives, including its chief executive of World Markets and Chief Risk Officer were fired because of the subprime write-downs of about US$3.3 billion (Duncan, 2008). Other Canadian banks were not affected since by the subprime crisis of the United States. Many blames the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce chief executive Gerry McCaughey's and believe that he should be one of the top executives to go (Silcoff, 2008).
The changes in top management have earned several criticisms from the financial industry except for the recruitment of director Nick Le Pan and chief financial officer David Williamson (Silcoff, 2008). Changes in the Risk Management of CIBC have also been implemented since December of last year. Both these factors may greatly affect the outcome of CICB in terms of the problems of subprime loans in the US.  
            At present, CICB manage risks by following the guidelines and tolerance levels established by their Risk Management (RM) Committee and Board of Directors. This is done by following the set of procedures and standards set by the committee and the Board. The RM assists the Board in identifying, measuring and controlling the business risks of CIBC.
The policies for key risk management are approved or renewed annually by the Risk Management (RM) committee. It also measures, monitors and control the risks by evaluating the risk if it is in accordance with the risk tolerance limits.
According to the management guidelines of CIBC, stated in their Annual Accountability Report 2007, the main priorities of the RM is the management and re-allocation of risk resources to achieve the goals of CIBC; and to measure, monitor and control the credit risks, market risks, liquidity risks and operational risks. This also includes the legal risks of CIBC and its reputation (CIBC Annual Accountability Report, 2007). 
            As of 2007, the RM reported that it has achieved its target client satisfaction and financial results by continuously enhancing the CIBC’s risk infrastructure. The RM is also responsible in the implementation of Base II program of CIBC.
            The different RM groups and other groups of CIBC are also involved in the management of risks. These are the treasury, Credit and Investment Risk Management Group, Market Risk Management, Operational Risk Management, Balance Sheet Measurement, and Monitoring and Control.
            The Treasury provides the funding and asset/liability liquidity, cash and collateral management for the particular risk. It ensures that CIBC is fully capitalized and it also manages the capital in legal entities, affiliates and subsidiaries. The Credit and Investment Risk Management group provides the oversight of the adjudication, monitoring and management of the global credit risks. It uses market based techniques in measuring, monitoring and controlling of risks. The Market Risk Management (MRM) provides oversight on management, monitoring and control of the trading credit risk and trading and non-trading market risks. The Operational Risk Management identifies, measures, monitors and controls the CIBC’s operational risks.
The Balance Sheet Measurement, Monitoring and Control provide oversight on measurement, monitoring and control of the balance sheet resources, model risk and economic capital. It is also responsible in overseeing the balance sheet resource allocation process.
            On November of 2007 CIBC adapted a new framework for the management of its capital, the Base II Framework. This framework is designed to enhance the risk sensitivity of regulatory capital (CIBC Annual Accountability Report, 2007). The Basel II Framework consists of three pillars: Pillar 1 prescribes the risk-focused regulatory capital requirements, Pillar 2 deals with supervisory review, and Pillar 3 with market disclosure (CIBC Annual Accountability Report, 2007).
            The Base II Framework allows for wider discretion for the individual banks in increasing or decreasing the capital requirements. This allows for more transparency of risk management in terms of capital adequacy and the risk.
II. Credit Risk Management of CICB
            For Credit Risks[1], the Capital and Risk Committee (CRC) is the group responsible for the oversight of policies and limits which are subjected to annual review and approval of the RM. The CRC is responsible for the implementation of the policies and in overseeing the quality of credit portfolio. The senior manager repots at least once per quarter to the RMC regarding the material credit risk matters. These include the individual credit transactions, compliance with limits, portfolio trends, impaired loans and credit loss provisioning levels. The RMC and the Audit committee on the other hand are tasked to review the quarterly impaired loan balances, allowances and credit losses (CIBC Annual Accountability Report, 2007).
            Portfolio management decisions and adjudications are then done based on the evaluation of risk as reflected by the policies, standards and limits set by the committee. The risk appetite of CICB is based on the policies, standards and guidelines, processes and controls and risk concentration limits. The company’s credit risk is measured, monitored, controlled and managed according to the set of policies, standards and procedures created by the RM.
            The approval of credit is controlled centrally since all requests are submitted to the credit risk management unit or to the RMC for approval. Once it is approved, credit exposures are monitored regularly. Monitoring includes full risk assessment annually. While those that are considered as higher risks are more closely monitored and reviewed quarterly. Different groups, the specialized loan workout group and the collections group, handle the management of the higher risk loans on a daily basis.
            The business and government loan portfolios are managed against concentration limits and exposures. The concentration limits are established for individual borrowers, industry sectors, selected products or types of lending, groups of related borrowers and countries and geographic regions. These are under strict underwriting standards. Higher risks are reduced by using credit derivative hedges and direct loan sales.
            To reduce risk in lending portfolios, CIBC required third party guarantees and insurance, such as the government’s guarantee on residential mortgages. Collateral pledges ensure risk mitigation effects. Policies and standards for collateral management include valuation, verification, legal certainty, and tracking, maintenance of collateral and periodic updated valuations. Collaterals are in the form of cash or securities, charges over inventory, receivables, real estate properties and operating assets.
For Credit risk under the Base II Framework, any institution may adopt any of the two approaches in circulating regulatory capital. These two approaches are: (a) the standardized approach which uses prescribed risk weights or (b) an internal ratings based (IRB) approach which allows the use of a bank’s internal models to calculate some, or all, of the key inputs into the regulatory capital calculation (CIBC Annual Accountability Report, 2007).
            In the first approach, the standardized approach, eligible financial collateral held by the institution reduces the amount of exposure and the exposures are assigned the risk weights by the regulators. In the second approach, the IRB approach, the institution may adopt the foundation approach or the advanced approach.
            Under the foundation approach, the probability of default (PD), exposure at default (EAD) and loss given default (LGD) are determined by the use of internal estimates. Under the advanced approach, also called the AIRB, the probability of default (PD), exposure at default (EAD) and loss given default (LGD) are determined by the use of internal estimates and inputs to the calculation. This uses a more advanced methodology and is more appropriate for the more sensitive risks since it determines the needed capital requirement calculations for these risks.
III. Operational Risk Management of CICB
            Operational Risk[2] is under the Governance and Control Committee (GCC). It oversees the management of internal control framework and objectives set by the Senior Executive Team (SET). On the other hand, the SET is the one answerable to the Board of Directors, the RM and the Audit Committee in terms of internal control.
            Under the internal control framework the individual businesses have the full responsibility for the management of the risk while the RM is the one responsible for the monitoring, controlling and measuring of the operational risk. It is also the one responsible for the businesses which manages the operational risks. They have to ensure that the businesses comply with the policies and procedures set by the CRC and the RMC.
            The people and processes operational risks are moderated by the human resources policies and operational procedures. The systems operational risks are managed through technology development and change management.
            CIBC has insurance programs to reduce loses which might arise from operations risks, such as insurance against property loss, criminal activities and damage and liability exposure. Aside from insurance program, CIBC has global business continuity management program to ensure continued normal operations in the event of major disasters. This business continuity management program is subjected to regular review, testing and updating.
For Operational Risk under the Base II Framework, any institution may adopt any of the two approaches in calculating risks: the basic indicator approach, the standardized approach and the advanced measurement approach (AMA).
            The basic indicator approached is in accordance with the regulatory defined percentage applied to the annual gross income of the institution. The standardized approach is the same as the basic indicator approach except that instead of regulatory percentage, multiple regulatory percentages are applied based on the regulatory specified business line. The advanced measurement approach (AMA) is the application of qualitative and quantitative criteria on both the internal and external data and scenario analysis. On circulation of regulatory capital, CICB uses the AMA approach.
            Under the Base II operational risk measurement includes expected and unexpected losses which may arise from legal liability, client restitution, regulatory compliance and tax violations, loss or damage to assets, transaction processing errors and theft, fraud and unauthorized activities.
IV. Market Risk Management of CICB
            Market Risk[3] is under the control of the CRC. Its internal control framework includes individual market risk manager for each business. Aside from the market risk manager, a regional risk manager is assigned to all four major trading centers. This is to ensure comprehensive risk coverage.
            CIBC has policies for market risks and these policies includes identification and measurement of different market risks, eligibility for inclusion in trading and non trading books and establishing of limits. The policy in risk tolerance level is clear and well defined since they are measured according to the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and potential worst-cases losses.
            In determining market risk and in setting limits on the amount of risk, CIBC uses its three-tiered approach. Tier 1 limits are the overall market risk and worst case scenario limits, Tier 2 limits are in controlling the risk profile in each business and Tier 3 limits are the desk level and to monitor risk concentration and impact of book specific stress events (CIBC Annual Accountability Report, 2007).
            To ensure that only authorized activities are undertaken, daily monitoring of market risk exposures are done on approved risk limits. The daily risk and monitoring report are based in the previous day’s repot. Limit compliance reports and market summary risks are submitted weekly. These are reviewed by the RMC every quarter and by the SET every week. 
            CIBC uses different risk measurements: VaR, stress testing and scenario analysis and backtesting. VaR compares the risk in different businesses and asset classes; stress testing and scenario analysis gives insights on portfolio behavior; and backtesting validates the effectiveness of risk measurement by using actual and theoretical profit and loss outcomes (CIBC Annual Accountability Report, 2007). 
In Market Risk Analysis under the Base II, the market risks are subjected to the Market Risk Amendment to the Basel Accord provision. CIBC continues to use the Internal Models Approach (IMA) which was already approved by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institution. According to the CIBC Annual Accountability Report of 2007, the IMA model has 99.865% efficiency rate for perceiving liquidity of different trading portfolios.
IV. Recommendation
            With the problems created by the subprime crisis in the US, many speculate on the effectiveness of CIBC’s risk management processes. Since Gerry McCaughey took over the bank he aimed to change its reputation for the better. One of the results of his actions is the failure of CICB’s proper management of risks. 
Since the problem has emerged, CIBC has taken several steps into eliminating capital market risks. It has also created changes in its risk management procedures, as discussed above, since it was downgraded to negative ratings because of risk management failings. McCaughey himself admitted that CIBC had “underestimated the extent to which the subprime market might deteriorate and the degree to which that would impact securities that were structured to be very low risk” (Duncan, 2007).
Based on these, it is easy to assume that the failed risk management procedures of CIBC stems from the individuals who should be more in control and knowledgeable about what they are doing. The Board of Directors along with the RM committee had failed in its role of protecting the bank against this financial risk.
The first thing that CIBC should do is to understand the importance of having reliable and able chief risk officer. The chief risk officer should have financial and people skills. This is because the chief risk officers must be able to coordinate effectively his people into implementing the policies and procedures of the new risk management division. Of course, the financial skills are necessary so that he can evaluate the potential cost of the risks on the capital.
The massive layoff of top executives of CIBC only shows that the bank did not have an effective and able chief risk officer. Such massive financial loss also shows that these individuals did nothing to protect the bank on such risk. Moreover, the criticisms that the top executives were not really expert bankers are proven to be true with this billion dollar loss.
Lastly, CIBC is one of the leading banks in Canada and since it is the only bank affected by the subprime crisis, it is impossible that the bank failed on its risk management procedures alone. In conclusion, the problem of CIBC’s risk management is not its guidelines, policies and procedures but the people who are part of risk management. The Board of Directors and investors should start taking a close look on the people behind the reign and see if they are capable of fulfilling their appointed tasks.


Appendix 1


Appendix 2





Works Cited
CIBC Annual Accountability Report. 2007.  CICB.com
Retrieved 8 March 2008 from
http://www.cibc.com/ca/pdf/about/aar07-en.pdf
Corporate News Release. 2007. Micro.newswire.ca
Retrieved 8 March 2008 from
http://micro.newswire.ca/release.cgi?rkey=1512194538&view=14730-0&Start=0
Duncan Mavin. 2007.  CIBC faces more questions about subprime. Financial Post 
Retrieved 8 March 2008 from
http://www.nationalpost.com/news/story.html?id=158782
Duncan, Mavin, 2008. Investors prop up CIBC with $2.75B injection. National Post
Retrieved 8 March 2008 from
http://www.nationalpost.com/news/story.html?id=237388
Silcoff, Sean. 2008. It's McCaughey who should be gone. Financial Post.
Retrieved 8 March 2008 from
http://www.financialpost.com/analysis/story.html?id=1c9eeb01-5eec-4b6f-b1dd-36d9f1f69902&k=18323



[1] The risk of financial loss due to a borrower or counterparty failing to meet its obligations in accordance with agreed terms (CIBC Annual Accountability Report, 2007)

[2] The loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, systems, or from human error or external events (CIBC Annual Accountability Report, 2007)
[3] The potential for financial loss from adverse changes in underlying market factors, including  interest and foreign exchange rates, credit spreads, and equity and commodity prices (CIBC Annual Accountability Report, 2007)

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